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Ideas

A life preserver tossed towards power lines.
Ideas

How to Save America’s Power Grid in 6 Steps

“Energy dominance” has to start with energy reliability.

Ideas

The Natural Gas Turbine Crisis

Investors are betting on gas to meet the U.S.’s growing electricity demand. Turbine manufacturers, however, have other plans.

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Voting.

Global Climate Politics Had a Rough 2024

In 2025, it’s time for stern resolve and bold maneuvers.

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A sun made of COVID.

How Covid Shaped Climate Policy

Five years from the emergence of the disease, the world — and the climate — is still grappling with its effects.

Ideas

Why Climate Change Will Wreck the Municipal Bond Market

It’s going to be worse than 2008.

A municipal bond and hurricane damage.
<p>Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images</p>

Unpriced risk undermined the global economy during the financial crisis of 2008. Today, researchers say unpriced physical climate risk will lead to rapid declines in property values — and point out that this is already happening in some Florida markets. They often compare what’s happening now to the run-up to 2008. If the analogy holds, we will likely see disruption in other related financial structures. In particular, as the physical reality of climate change begins to have an effect on the attractiveness of bonds in risky areas, the ability of local governments to raise money to adapt to rapidly changing climate conditions may be undercut.

But comparing the effect of the 2008 unpriced risk on the municipal bond market with the potential effects of physical climate risk shows the suffering will likely be much greater this time. Today, there’s a direct, rather than indirect, connection between risk and public finance markets.

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Ideas

Biden’s Climate Law Can’t Die. Wall Street Loves It Too Much.

A cynical optimist’s take on the Inflation Reduction Act.

Seeing a glass half full.
<p>Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images</p>

The optimistic case for the Inflation Reduction Act — even under a Trump presidency, even with a Republican trifecta in Washington — rests on a “public investment first” view of climate policy. Public investment in the clean energy economy is not merely a second-best policy option to carbon pricing or other punitive regulations, the argument goes, but instead the first-best option in the marathon of politically durable decarbonization.

I am an outspoken proponent of this view. Public investment provides and encourages investment to drive down the cost of clean energy technologies, make them more market-competitive, and thereby reduces emissions by permanently shifting demand away from fossil fuel-dependent ones. Public investment in clean energy technologies can also create the conditions for new constituencies to gain political clout and defend their role in the economy, and for further policy ambition in the future.

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